Thursday, November 6, 2008

Who Got It Right?

I heard in the final days before the election (and I don't remember the exact numbers) that the number of published polls released this year outnumbered 2004 by 2 to 1.

Here's a little report card on how they did.

One thing that jumped out to me was that some McCain loyalists were looking for a while to the IBD/TIPP poll with their own version of hope. It showed the race fairly close up until the end, and it was the most accurate in predicting Bush's margin over Kerry. In fact, its website self-proclaims it as "the Nation's Most Accurate Pollster!"

This year, it's 14th on the accuracy list.

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